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venerdì 8 gennaio 2010

Il fallimento del socialismo arabo

Seconda pagina - Focus


di Andrea Pili.

Dopo aver infiammato il mondo arabo nella seconda metà del XX secolo, nel Duemila il socialismo arabo è chiaramente morto. Il Baath è al potere in Siria ma ha ormai tagliato il legame con il partito “storico” dal golpe del 1966 e non ha più le caratteristiche di un autentico movimento ma è soltanto espressione del potere di un solo uomo: Bashar al Assad. Il passaggio del potere da Hafez al figlio Bashar testimonia l'involuzione dells Siria da paese progressista a repubblica ereditaria. Negli altri paesi la politica socialista si è molto attenuata, tanto da perdere qualsiasi attrattiva, o è stata deposta più o meno violentemente. Le cause del fallimento del socialismo arabo sono principalmente due: la mancanza di un autentico coinvolgimento popolare e lo stato d'Israele.
Riguardo la prima causa si veda la struttura del partito Baath e l'ascesa del socialismo nei vari paesi. Il Baath rimase legato, a causa del lungo tempo trascorso in clandestinità, ad una struttura gerarchica che ha impedito l'unità dei militanti ed il vero riconoscimento di un capo; ai tempi della clandestinità erano infatti scoraggiati i contatti tra membri di diverso grado gerarchico allo scopo di neutralizzare le infiltrazioni governative. Inoltre il partito era travagliato da grosse divisioni sfociate sanguinosamente in Siria ed in Iraq. Oltre i suoi fondatori (Michel Aflaq e Salah Bitar) il Baath non ebbe grandi pensatori ed ideologi ed il socialismo si è fatto dunque conoscere attraverso uomini forti (Nasser, Gheddafi, Saddam, Nimeiry, Ben Bella, Assad) piuttosto che con idee che avrebbero dato maggiore considerazione o giustificazione al movimento il quale era molto screditato dalla discutibile gestione del potere da parte dei vari capi di stato socialisti. In nessun paese il socialismo si è affermato democraticamente; sono stati necessari dei colpi di stato militari (Egitto, Libia, Siria, Iraq, Sudan) o lotte indipendentiste culminate con regime a partito unico speculare del fronte militare (Algeria, Tunisia, Yemen). L'esercito ha svolto quindi la funzione di custode della rivoluzione (Saddam Hussein fu l'unico leader civile!) ma sia in Siria che in Iraq i rispettivi dittatori hanno basato il proprio potere sul sostegno di una minoranza religiosa (alawita e sunnita). Probabilmente solo Nasser e Gheddafi hanno saputo mobilitare le masse a sostegno del proprio regime; tuttavia, morto Nasser, la repubblica araba d'Egitto ha visto l'involuzione moderata di Sadat e Mubarak. C'è da attendersi il crollo del regime anche la morte del leader libico. L'Algeria ha ben evidenziato la situazione: il facile colpo di stato di Boumedienne nel 1965 a danno del brillante Ben Bella -in cui difesa non si vide alcun moto popolare- e la sconfitta dello storico FLN in favore degli integralisti islamici del FIS alle prime libere elezioni (1992) hanno dimostrato che il socialismo non era affatto presente nella mente dei cittadini. Alla prima occasione, il popolo algerino scelse di sbarazzarsi del partito socialista -storico costruttore dell'indipendenza- dirigendo alle urne tutto il suo astio verso un potere che si è presentato loro solo come acritica imposizione.
Israele- enclave occidentale nel mondo arabo- rappresenta tutto quanto gli arabi odiano: l'imperialismo e la cultura occidentale. La forza d'Israele ha costretto l'Egitto rivoluzionario alla resa nel 1967 e nel 1973. Con la disfatta militare egiziana crolla anche il sogno del panarabismo, reso impossibile dalla presenza sionista e dagli interessi occidentali da essa tutelati. Lo stato sionista porta invece alla ribalta il problema dei profughi palestinesi che, pur arabi, sono visti come infidi dagli altri paesi costretti ad accoglierli, specie la Giordania il cui monarca Hussein fu responsabile dell'eccidio di profughi nel settembre 1970. Agli occhi di molti arabi ormai il vecchio nazionalismo laico e socialista non è all'altezza di portare avanti la liberazione del popolo arabo dall'imperialismo occidentale identificato con Israele. La svolta del presidente Sadat nel 1977 contribuisce alla sfiducia generale di tutti gli arabi nei confronti del socialismo che, se prima non aveva cercato sua grossa partecipazione ora delude irrimediabilmente. La rivoluzione islamica in Iran nel 1979 e la guerra in Libano del 1982 portano in rilievo un nuovo fondamentalismo islamico che, specie con Hezbollah, si mostra strenuo difensore sul campo degli interessi arabi contro l'invasore israeliano. Inoltre, nel 1988 anche l'ultimo grande e fiero laico arabo, Yassir Arafat, inizia un processo di pace con Israele riconoscendo lo stato, accettando le risoluzioni Onu e condannando il terrorismo. Intanto grazie alla prima intifada (1987-1990) nasce Hamas, un movimento islamico palestinese estraneo all'Olp storico rappresentante della Palestina; farà strada. Gli accordi di Oslo del 1993 portano alla nascita dell'Autorità Nazionale Palestinese, territorio occupato concesso da Israele ad una amministrazione araba. I patti ci sembrano oggi come assolutamente falliti e così crede il popolo arabo. Ad Oslo è morta ogni speranza degli arabi oppressi nel nazionalismo laico e dalla seconda intifada (dal 2000) è inesorabile il consenso dei movimenti fondamentalisti quali Hamas o Hezbollah i quali sono più popolari di quanto il socialismo arabo sia mai stato. Hamas nel 2006 vinse le elezioni palestinesi; anche il movimento libanese riscuote un successo- tra i profughi e gli sciiti- mai riscosso prima. Ciò è dovuto al fatto che tali movimenti sono vicini al popolo, danno un aiuto concreto tramite la gestione di servizi sociali, combattono in prima linea contro Israele e non abbandonano mai l'assistenza alle famiglie dei martiri. I movimenti fondamentalisti hanno compreso l'importanza di una cosa che ai socialisti e a tutti i laici in genere è sempre mancata: la necessità della partecipazione popolare.

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